England Premier League predictions
England Premier League 2026-27 so far: 2.84 goals per game, home wins 40%, draws 28%, over 2.5 52%, BTTS 52%, from 75 matches (last season, 2025-26: 2.75 goals per game, home wins 43%, draws 27%, over 2.5 55%, BTTS 56%).
Our Premier League predictions cover every upcoming match with home, draw, away, Over/Under goals, BTTS and the most likely score.
Our picks last matchday: 4 of 5 correct
Matchday 8 · Fri 23 Oct – Sat 24 Oct. See all graded picks on our accuracy record
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · Premier LgPremier League  | O1.579%✓ | 30%✕ | 26%✓ | 44%✕ | 55%✕ | 79%✓ | 33%✕ | 58%✓ |
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Premier LgPremier League  | O1.581%✓ | 27%✓ | 25%✕ | 48%✕ | 57%✓ | 81%✓ | 35%✕ | 59%✓ |
FT · Premier LgPremier League  | U3.577%✓ | 64%✓ | 24%✕ | 12%✕ | 44%✕ | 71%✓ | 23%✕ | 51%✕ |
FT · Premier LgPremier League  | O1.575%✕ | 36%✕ | 27%✕ | 37%✓ | 50%✕ | 75%✕ | 28%✕ | 57%✕ |
FT · Premier LgPremier League  | O1.582%✓ | 54%✕ | 24%✕ | 22%✓ | 60%✕ | 82%✓ | 37%✕ | 59%✕ |
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Score | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchday 8 · Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | |||||||||
14:00 · Premier LgPremier League  Bournemouth | O1.582% | 1-112% | 44% | 25% | 31% | 59% | 82% | 37% | 60% |
14:00 · Premier LgPremier League  | O1.576% | 1-112% | 23% | 25% | 53% | 52% | 76% | 30% | 56% |
14:00 · Premier LgPremier League  | O1.583% | 1-111% | 50% | 24% | 26% | 61% | 83% | 38% | 59% |
14:00 · Premier LgPremier League  | O1.581% | 1-112% | 38% | 26% | 37% | 59% | 81% | 36% | 59% |
16:30 · Premier LgPremier League  | U3.574% | 1-114% | 34% | 28% | 37% | 47% | 74% | 26% | 56% |
| Matchday 9 · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 – Sun, 1 Nov 2026 | |||||||||
| 12:30 · Premier LgPremier League | O1.584% | 1-111% | 46% | 25% | 29% | 62% | 84% | 40% | 60% |
| 15:00 · Premier LgPremier League | U3.577% | 1-113% | 45% | 28% | 28% | 44% | 71% | 23% | 55% |
| 15:00 · Premier LgPremier League | O1.578% | 1-112% | 48% | 26% | 26% | 54% | 78% | 31% | 57% |
| 15:00 · Premier LgPremier League | O1.584% | 1-111% | 55% | 23% | 22% | 62% | 84% | 40% | 59% |
| 15:00 · Premier LgPremier LeagueBournemouth | O1.580% | 1-112% | 47% | 26% | 27% | 56% | 80% | 33% | 58% |
| 15:00 · Premier LgPremier League | O1.577% | 1-112% | 36% | 26% | 37% | 53% | 77% | 30% | 57% |
| 17:30 · Premier LgPremier League | O1.578% | 1-113% | 40% | 27% | 33% | 53% | 78% | 31% | 58% |
| 20:00 · Premier LgPremier League | O1.576% | 1-113% | 45% | 27% | 28% | 50% | 76% | 28% | 57% |
| 16:30 · Premier LgPremier League | U3.575% | 1-114% | 31% | 29% | 40% | 46% | 73% | 25% | 56% |
Premier League trends
Hull City have not won in their last 5 league games.
Next: Hull City v BrentfordBrighton are unbeaten in their last 5 league games.
Next: Liverpool v BrightonMan United have not won in their last 5 league games.
Next: Man United v BournemouthSunderland have not won in their last 5 league games.
Next: Sunderland v LeedsNottingham have not won in their last 4 league games.
Next: Brentford v NottinghamAston Villa are unbeaten in their last 4 league games.
Next: Aston Villa v FulhamMan City: over 2.5 goals in each of their last 4 league games.
Next: Man City v BrightonBrentford: over 2.5 goals in each of their last 4 league games.
Next: Hull City v Brentford
Our Premier League record
Our Premier League picks (all markets): 60% correct from 175 graded matches (back-test 56% from 3,039).
- 1X2: 48% correct from 25 graded matches (back-test 53% from 1,519).
- Over/Under 1.5: 84% correct from 25 graded matches (back-test 80% from 1,520).
- Over/Under 2.5: 60% correct from 25 graded matches (back-test 59% from 1,520).
- Over/Under 3.5: 68% correct from 25 graded matches (back-test 65% from 1,520).
- BTTS: 56% correct from 25 graded matches (back-test 55% from 1,520).
- Correct score: 20% correct from 25 graded matches (back-test 12% from 1,520).
More football predictions
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favourite in the next Premier League matchday?
- Man City are the strongest favourites, at 55% to beat Brighton. A 55% chance still fails about 5 times in 10.
- How many goals per game in the Premier League this season?
- England Premier League 2026-27 so far: 2.84 goals per game, home wins 40%, draws 28%, over 2.5 52%, BTTS 52%, from 75 matches (last season, 2025-26: 2.75 goals per game, home wins 43%, draws 27%, over 2.5 55%, BTTS 56%).
- Which Premier League team is on the longest winning run?
- Brighton have won each of their last 4 league games, the longest current winning run in the Premier League.
- How accurate are your Premier League predictions?
- Our Premier League picks (all markets): 60% correct from 175 graded matches (back-test 56% from 3,039). Every ProbaPredict pick is graded in public after full time, including the ones that lose.